Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.001079 0.001227 0.001375 0.001536 0.001705 0.001876 0.002061
2025-07-13 0.000843 0.001053 0.001272 0.001517 0.001779 0.002052 0.002353
2025-07-20 0.000634 0.000882 0.001153 0.001463 0.001805 0.002165 0.002572
2025-07-27 0.000525 0.000808 0.001128 0.001505 0.001926 0.002378 0.002893
2025-08-03 0.000405 0.000707 0.001063 0.001493 0.001984 0.002516 0.003129
2025-08-10 0.000272 0.000573 0.000947 0.001413 0.001957 0.002557 0.003255
2025-08-17 0.000187 0.000485 0.000877 0.001381 0.001980 0.002648 0.003432
2025-08-24 0.000102 0.000378 0.000772 0.001299 0.001938 0.002662 0.003520
2025-08-31 0.000059 0.000320 0.000726 0.001283 0.001972 0.002758 0.003697
2025-09-07 0.000034 0.000286 0.000707 0.001299 0.002041 0.002894 0.003917
2025-09-14 0.000009 0.000230 0.000651 0.001265 0.002045 0.002953 0.004048
2025-09-21 0.000002 0.000213 0.000650 0.001300 0.002134 0.003108 0.004288
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000209 0.000682 0.001398 0.002323 0.003407 0.004724
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000155 0.000626 0.001376 0.002364 0.003535 0.004966
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000098 0.000552 0.001322 0.002364 0.003613 0.005153
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000078 0.000543 0.001361 0.002480 0.003831 0.005501
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000049 0.000502 0.001349 0.002529 0.003967 0.005754
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000015 0.000422 0.001272 0.002491 0.003994 0.005878
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000002 0.000376 0.001241 0.002510 0.004090 0.006080
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000305 0.001162 0.002460 0.004098 0.006177
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000275 0.001147 0.002495 0.004211 0.006396
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000262 0.001163 0.002572 0.004373 0.006675
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000226 0.001130 0.002578 0.004447 0.006845